方法论Forecasts come from a calibrated Ensemble of international Elo, Dixon-Coles, and a Hierarchical Poisson model. See /docs/methodology/ for the full write-up. Tap any abbreviation in a data table for its definition.
How the forecasts score against results (Brier, log-loss, and calibration across past tournaments) is on the calibration scoreboard.
Built 14 Jul 14:01 UTC · Day 34 of the tournament · Methodology